NASEO’s Energy Commodity Outlook: Expert Insights on Petroleum, Natural Gas, Critical Minerals, and Renewable Fuels (Virtual Meeting)

April 29, 2022, 9:00 - 11:30 AM ET and April 29, 2022, 9:00 - 11:30 AM ET

This event will occur over two separate sessions; one to be held in the morning, and the other to be held in the afternoon.

Register here for the program.

Please reach out to Campbell Delahoyde (cdelahoyde@naseo.org) with any questions.

Agenda

Morning Sessions | 9:00 a.m. – 11:30 a.m. ET

Global Oil Supply, Price, and Investment Outlook
9:00 a.m. – 10:00 a.m. ET

Long before the Russian invasion of Ukraine caused additional, significant increases in global oil prices, the supply and demand imbalances in oil markets were apparent. Diminished global capacity has rapidly translated into rising gasoline, distillate, and other refined product prices. While U.S. consumers and business are feeling the brunt of price impacts, the United States economy as a whole may see less impact given our role as a leading oil and natural gas producer.  The global dynamics of low investment, high demand, and sanctions on Russia are complex.  In this session, renowned economist Jeff Currie of Goldman Sachs will provide remarks on the state of global oil markets, including a forecast of geopolitical and investment impacts on petroleum supplies and prices, and potential policy implications.

  • Speaker: Jeff Currie, Global Head of Commodities Research, Goldman Sachs
  • Moderator: David Terry, Executive Director, NASEO

Fueling Global Energy Storage and EV Demand – Critical Minerals and Rare Earths Elements
10:15 a.m. – 11:30 a.m. ET

Energy storage innovation and the clean energy transition has caused a hyper-focus on critical minerals, with billions of public and private sector investment, a global race to identify and secure supplies, and Congressional and Administration action to shore up supplies for America.  A range of critical materials are key components of electric vehicle batteries and vehicles, wind generation, photovoltaics, and grid-scale battery technologies. The demand for lithium, cobalt, nickel, and graphite in particular, is projected to increase dramatically over the next decade. Supply chain constraints of critical materials challenge the investment and production targets of automakers and electric providers in the clean energy transition currently underway. Experts will discuss the status of crucial mineral availability, U.S. options and opportunities, and how states can work with federal and industry partners to deal with supply chain realities today and change the trajectory of supplies, prices, and our national security in the years ahead.

  • Speakers:
    • Melanie Kenderdine, Principal, Energy Futures Initiative
    • Jennifer Wilcox, Acting Assistant Secretary, Fossil Energy and Carbon Management (FECM), US Department of Energy (US DOE)
  • Moderator:
    • Robert Jackson, Assistant Division Director/Energy Ombudsman, Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes, and Energy

Afternoon Sessions | 2:00 p.m. – 4:30 p.m. ET

Natural Gas Production, LNG Exports, and Global Security:  U.S. Prices and Economic Development
2:00 p.m. – 3:15 p.m. ET

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has had a significant impact on global natural gas prices. As the United States, Europe, and other allies consider further sanctions on Russia, which could potentially include the energy sector, and how to reduce global dependence on Russian natural gas in the long term, U.S. liquid natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and Asia are becoming more important each day. The Biden Administration committed to provide the EU with an additional 15 billion cubic meters this year alone. The U.S. price for natural gas has risen to the highest level in thirteen years, providing an incentive to increase U.S. natural gas production capacity over the next few years. However, high natural gas prices during the summer could signal even higher prices for the winter of 2022-2023, impacting natural gas and propane consumers and the economy in the U.S. This expert panel will discuss near- to mid-term impacts of recent geopolitical events to domestic natural gas and propane supplies, storage, and prices, as well as economic benefits for U.S. natural producing regions.

  • Speakers:
    • Ed Morse, Global Head of Commodities Research, Citi
    • Matthew Bernstein, Senior Analyst, Shale E&P, Rystad Energy
  • Moderators:
    • Ben Bolton, Senior Energy Programs Administrator, Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation Co-chair, NASEO Energy Security Committee
    • Megan Levy, Resilience Strategist & Energy Assurance Coordinator, Wisconsin Office of Energy Innovation; Co-chair, NASEO Energy Security Committee

Renewable Fuels Insights – Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol
3:30 p.m. – 4:30 p.m. ET

As oil and natural gas prices rise, the cost comparison for renewable fuels is changing too.  Sustainable aviation fuel, renewable diesel, and ethanol are all seeing demand increases due to corporate GHG emission commitments and state and federal public policy goals at the same time input prices for the production of these clean fuels increase. Experts on this panel will examine the state of different renewable fuels for the transportation sector, the price and capacity outlook, and outline potential policy implications, barriers, and solutions for consumers, business, and policymakers.

  • Speakers:
    • Representative, Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO), Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), US Department of Energy (US DOE)
  • Moderator:
    • Kenya Stump, Executive Director, Kentucky Office of Energy Policy